http://www.myfoxboston.com/dpp...
Vote for Governor Mihos 41% Patrick 40% Some other candidate 10% Not sure 9% Vote for Governor Baker 36% Patrick 41% Some other candidate 12% Not sure 11% Governor Approval Strongly approve 11% Somewhat approve 31% Somewhat disapprove 25% Strongly disapprove 32% Not sure 1%
Vote for Governor Baker 36% Patrick 41% Some other candidate 12% Not sure 11%
Governor Approval Strongly approve 11% Somewhat approve 31% Somewhat disapprove 25% Strongly disapprove 32% Not sure 1%
The poll also shows strong majority support for the legislature cutting it's own pay and returning from full time to part time. The poll was conducted by Rassmussen Reports with a sample size of 500.
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... and as a side note, Paul ferro for the high office of his choosing! :-D
http://hubpolitics.com/2009/05...
Especially interesting is the first reply by Bill Hunter. I call it consorting with the enemy.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I doubt either Baker or Brown would abandon the party over some petty disagreement then have the b*lls to come back here 4 years later as if nothing had happened.
Please note: My vote will be an Anti-Mihos vote in the primary without a doubt. However, if he was to survive a primary, I am capable of doing something he obviously couldn't and that's support the GOP nominee regardless of who it is.
2. Baker had better start staking out some issues other than healthcare. Voters are just plain unhappy about healthcare. They are unhappy with the reform and they are unhappy with the current structure.
Allow me to coin Yankeepundit's first law of politics: "Whatever is done about healthcare, a majority will be unhappy with it."
Baker needs to establish a presence in other issues like jobs or education and do so darn fast.
Let the Republicans run a Republican candidate.
That's not really meant as a hit on Mihos, but I think Patrick is just so unpopular, and has been such a failure as governor that I think virtually any qualified Republican with a pulse would beat him.
I'm more fascinated by the Baker numbers, because I'm very active in GOP circles, and I've barely heard boo from Baker, so the fact that he's at 36% to an incumbent Governors 41% is shockingly bad for Patrick.
I suspect that we'll have a multi-way primary for Governor this time around. I think folks will be stepping up for lower offices (this could be a wave election, and sweep some down-ballot Constitutional candidates in if they can put together decent, serious campaigns).
I'm not sure if Mihos is going to last though. His staff choices have been interesting to say the least, and he has a history of being a difficult candidate (his whole staff quit in 2006, you'll recall) so I'll be interested to see how this plays out.
In the end, I think we'll have a great ticket that will clean Devals clock (Cahill will run, but he'll lose) and whether the names are Baker-Brown or Mihos-Brown, or Brown-Polito it could be a (relatively) very good year for the GOP in Massachusetts.
Nice job on the recon. I spent a few minutes over there laughing my but off. They talk about all these "Obama Republicans" in the same context as Reagan Democrats. The Reagan Democrats were busy voting for his agenda in the House. Obama gets nothing but unanimous opposition from our party.
They know nothing about the statistical analysis of polling. They only see what they want to see. They give more credit to polls among "Adults" where McCain for some reason got only 25% of the vote than polls among registered or likely voters that actually match known results.
I predicted the GOP would take in on the chin in both 2006 and 2008. I'm predicting GOP gains in 2010. The only question is how big will they be. "Victory is Mine!" - Stewart Gilligan Griffin.
