BMG Prediction Thread Reveals Doubts Over Coakley Electabilty

While the general assumption of this Predictions 2014 post at Blue Mass Group is that Coakley will win the primary, a few commenters predict a Charlie Baker win.

From jconway:

Baker beats coakley by 4 points.

From trickle-up:

Governor Charlie Baker

Our nominee falls short by failing to address spending, taxation, and other basic issues head on.
And then this off the wall prediction in the main post from pablo:
KarynPolito, and tea party primary opponent Mark Fisher, spend the primary season in a medley of appeals to the conservative base. It sets a tone that damages Charlie Baker with moderate voters, and Scott Lively pulls enough social conservatives away to doom the GOP’s chance of winning statewide.
If anyone is pinning their hopes on Scott Lively then they are in for a rude awakening on election day.  My own addition to the prediction thread was to say that Lively does not make the ballot.

About Patrick

Sometime political guy.
  • Ed Lyons

    I don’t think we can know anything this far out. The election feels very far away and it is hard to imagine all that might happen between now and then. The Democrat I am most worried about is not AG Martha Coakley, but Juliette Kayyem. We know who Coakley is and perhaps how that campaign would play out. But Kayyem could run an Warren-inspired liberal campaign that might make this a very different kind of race – one we are not prepared for.

    I have no idea who will win and make no predictions.