Republican Bob Turner in Statistical Dead Heat for Anthony Weiner’s Old Congressional Seat

A Quinnipiac University poll found 49 percent of voters disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president, while 45 percent approve, marking the first time the president’s approval numbers have been under water in a Quinnipiac poll taken in the Empire State. Obama has seen his numbers drop sharply since a June Quinnipiac survey in which 57 percent approved of his performance and 38 percent did not. – Real Clear Politics – 8/12/2011

With the above news above, and the fact that Anthony Weiner’s former district is relatively conservative for NYC, is it any wonder that a Republican is statistically tied to replace Weiner.  The New York Times Blog is reporting the tightening race.

According to a Siena Research Institute poll released Wednesday morning, 48 percent of likely voters in the Ninth Congressional District, which straddles Queens and Brooklyn, support the Democratic candidate, Assemblyman David I. Weprin, while 42 percent favor the Republican, Bob Turner, a retired business executive. That gap, which lies within the four percentage point margin of sampling error for the poll of 501 likely voters, is smaller than the surprisingly tight 20-point edge – 60 to 40 – that voters gave to Mr. Weiner over Mr. Turner in 2010.

Mr. Weiner, a seven-term incumbent who had been considered a strong contender in the 2013 mayoral election, resigned his Congressional seat on June 16 after acknowledging that he had sent sexually explicit online messages to at least six women. Party leaders then chose Mr. Weprin, the scion of a longtime Queens political dynasty, and Mr. Turner, who rode a wave of Tea Party angst to a stronger-than-anticipated defeat in 2010, to face off for the right to serve through the end of 2012. And since the district is strongly Democratic, Mr. Weprin had been pegged as the favorite.

But the race to succeed the fallen Mr. Weiner is not the only reason the race has attracted national attention. As a result of the 2010 census, New York must lose two Congressional seats, and some political observers believe that the Ninth District could be eliminated. So whoever wins Mr. Weiner’s seat could have a Congressional career lasting just 475 days.

A win by Turner would be the same sort of kick-start Scott Brown’s victory gave us in 2010.  Just think of the headlines if he wins the race.  “Republican Wins Heavily Democratic New York City Seat”, the headlines would read.  

For that reason please considering giving Turner a donation to help in his September 13, 2011 election.

About Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno