MA-08 Congressional Preview w/ poll

Write-In Campaigns Special Edition!



Massachusetts 8th congressional district has a PVI of D+32.  It is the 19th most Democratic district in the nation, and the most Democratic district in Massachusetts.  In 2008, Incumbent Michael Capuano (D) was unopposed.  This year, he is also unopposed.  Michael Capuano has raised $690,540 this year and has just $15,243 cash on hand.  Such is the price of a failed Senate campaign.  United States Senator Scott Brown has $6,535,710 cash on hand.  A friendly little reminder for those thinking about a potential 2012 match-up.

Yes, for those of you who were wondering, I am going to preview the 8th congressional district.  In lieu of candidate profiles, I will use this as an opportunity to make a few points regarding write-in campaigns.  While no one (that I know of) is running a write in campaign for the MA-8, both Guy Carbone and Jim McKenna are running campaigns for Attorney General against Martha Coakley.  I will post more about these two gentlemen at a later time.  For the “official rules” regarding write-in candidacies visit the Massachusetts Secretary of State.  There are specific and detailed requirements for stickers for them to count as valid on a ballot.

To qualify for ballot access, a write in candidate would need to receive the same number of write-in/sticker votes as the number of signatures necessary to qualify for the ballot traditionally.  For example, a State Representative candidate would only need 150 votes.  While the MassGOP has fielded an impressive list of candidates in 2010, many down the ballot races, including State Representative, remain empty.  For a list of all Republican candidates for office, including the uncontested seats, go here.  If there was ever a year to just throw your name on the ballot to see what happens, or waste the Democrats time and money to defeat you, 2010 is it.

Finally, it is important to note that you are only allowed to vote for someone once on your ballot.  If you vote for the same person for multiple offices, you risk invalidating your ballot.  For example, if you are a big Bill Campbell fan and write his name in for a “blank” office and vote for him for Secretary of State it may invalidate your ballot.  Similarly, if you were to write yourself in for everything your ballot may also be disqualified.  However, if your goal is to annoy and waste the time of the good people who count the ballots, Mission Accomplished!

MORE BELOW THE FOLD….

Recommendation:  Blank, unless someone announces and tries to make the ballot.

Republican Primary Prediction: No one qualifies for the ballot.

General Election Prediction: Mike Capuano 99%, All others 1%.  It’s just as well.  The MA-08 is the very definition of an unwinable district.  It’s a district that’s so bad, it makes the other ones more competitive for us.  It should also serve as a reminder to legislative candidates.  Unless you are running in Cambridge, Somerville, or Boston the voters there don’t impact the votes in your district.  The political center of Massachusetts isn’t the political center of the district you are running in.

Other Congressional Previews:

MA-01: Congressional Preview w/ poll

MA-02: Congressional Preview w/ poll

MA-03: Congressional Preview w/ poll

MA-04: Congressional Preview w/ poll

MA-05: Congressional Preview w/ poll

MA-06: Congressional Preview w/ poll

MA-07: Congressional Preview w/ poll

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About Mike "DD4RP" Rossettie