Obama Wouldn’t win Today

A new Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll show that only 39% of Americans would vote for President Obama in 2012. What a difference 12 months makes. This time last year he had record approval ratings. It will be interesting to see if Republicans, (or Tea Partiers?) come up with a second way, or simply run as “not-Obama.”

 This poll was not of likely voters, not even of voters; this poll was a poll of “adults”. It is a common belief that the more stringently the likely voter method is followed the more conservative the poll trends, so if this poll was simply of adults it was arguably the most Democrat-friendly poll you could take. Makes the results all the more telling.

Crossposted at The Rockefeller Republican

About SteveB

  • Using your logic, Reagan wouldn’t have won in January 1982 either.

    Oh, BTW, how’s McCain polling now?