Where is the poll?

Since the December 8th primary for United States Senate major national polling firms have done polls for United States senate races in ND, PA, MO, FL, NY, NV, IL, CO, OH and CT.  Yet nowhere have we seen a poll for the race here in MA just 3 short weeks away.  While I am delighted to see Republicans leading in 9 of these 10 races, the absence of a Brown vs. Coakley (vs Kennedy) post primary poll is becoming stranger with each passing day.

The 2008 Senate matchup between John Kerry and Jeff Beatty was polled at least 10 times, including 4 times withing the last 4 weeks of the election.  Beatty’s closest margin was 24%.

The Democratic primary was heavily polled by the media even though Martha Coakley held a commanding lead from start to finish.  On November 11, the Suffolk University/WHDH Poll showed Coakley ahead by a 44% to 17% margin over her closest competitor.  This poll was run after they ran a September 16th poll also showing Coakley with a commanding lead.  Similar primary polls were run by Western New England College and UNH/Boston Globe.  The size of Coakley’s lead in the primary did not hinder polling nor media coverage.

Now, in the general election we are left empty.  The Boston Globe and WHDH have refused to give the general election the same attention they give Democrat primaries.


In related news, where is the national party?  Scott Brown represents a potential 41st Senator.  His election could bring Obama’s entire agenda to a screeching halt.  The Boston Herald covered this story today.  Consider me one of the outraged local Republicans.

About Mike "DD4RP" Rossettie

  • Martha has polling data and she’s not releasing it.  Instead, I suspect you’ll see her release her December fundraising haul on or shortly after December 31 and then try to make the argument that financial support (largely from out of state or special interests btw) is a talisman for voter support of her candidacy.  Let ’em think they’ve got it won.  The only poll that counts is January 19.  

  • If Martha’s polling shows Scott Brown within 10 points or so, before he has launched his first TV spot, then the donors who are dumping millions into her campaign on the assumption that she’s a walkaway winner will hedge their bets by giving to Brown as well.  Martha doesn’t want any such money going to Brown until it’s too late to put it to good use.  So the lack of news about polling is good news for Brown.  He’ll raise his money just fine on his own, which will make him have broader appeal among Independent voters in any event.

  • Maybe they are waiting until after the candidates have their first televised debate (sorry WBZ TV, you don’t count).  Or after the candidates start slinging major TV ads?  They haven’t yet have they?  I don’t watch much TV.  

  • BMG sponsored their own.