BREAKING: Scozzafava Drops Out of NY-23 Race

The momentum behind Republican and Conservative Party member Doug Hoffman has forced Dede Scozzafava to drop out of the NY-23 race.  This is good news for the conservative movement, and great news for Scott Brown.  I am a firm believer that if we as conservatives pull off a trifecta of VA-Gov, NJ-Gov and NY-23 it shows momentum.  Then on November 4, 2009 the only game in town is the Brown Candidacy for MA-Sen.

Dede Scozzafava (R) announced “that she is suspending her campaign for the 23rd Congressional District and releasing all her supporters,” the Watertown Daily Times reports.

“The state Assemblywoman has not thrown her support to either Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate, or Bill Owens, the Democratic candidate.”

A new Siena poll this morning found the race too close to call between Owens at 36% and Hoffman at 35% with Scozzafava falling way back to 20%.

About Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno

  • Vote3rdpartynow

    This just in:

    Republican Dierdre Scozzafava has suspended her campaign for the New York House and is encouraging supporters to embrace Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman.

  • Some time back there was a discussion here on RMG as to whether principle should trump party.  I think that the developments this morning answer that question.

    You run for election for two reasons.  One is to win office.  the other is to win the debate.  As long as you are in the race, you are advancing the debate for your principles.  

    Scozzafava dropped out of the race because she determined that she could not win.  In her own words:

    In recent days, polls have indicated that my chances of winning this election are not as strong as we would like them to be. The reality that I’ve come to accept is that in today’s political arena, you must be able to back up your message with money-and as I’ve been outspent on both sides, I’ve been unable to effectively address many of the charges that have been made about my record.

    If you are running on principle, there is no reason to drop out of the race.  You can always advance the debate by having your hat in the ring especially right before the election when more voters are paying attention.

  • Ahh, the tri-fecta for tuesday if looking better and better! Hoffman, Christie, & Mcdonnell. Add victories for John lysak for ward 8 and Joe Flebotte for District 4 school committee and I say we’ll have one HELL of a night here at the Springfield GOP!

  • politicalmadman
  • …Good for her for acknowledging reality.

    …Good for her for ‘taking one for the team.’

    …Good for her for not staying in just to screw the conservative

    …Good for, in a race where “party loyalty vs. ideology” was the issue, she decided not to let Party get in the way of holding the seat.

    So, while I have differences with her on issues, Ms. Soczzafava deserves credit for all likelihood helping the GOP “Hold” this seat.

  • Festus Garvey
  • Gulp: Hoffman’s net favorable rating among Scozzafava supporters at … -42

  • http://www.watertowndailytimes

    “Dear friends and supporters:

    “Throughout the course of my campaign for Congress, I have made the people of the 23rd District and the issues that affect them the focal point of my campaign. As a life long resident of this district, I care deeply and passionately about its people and our way of life. Whether as a candidate for Congress, a state Assemblywoman or a small town mayor, I have always sought to act with the best interest of our district and its residents in mind-and today I again seek to act for the good of our community….

    For the rest, follow the link.

  • Vote3rdpartynow

    People commenting here are talking about ideologies and party positioning and such , but I think the real story here is much simpler than that.  I think what is happening in this race is that the voters are asking themselves which direction they want to travel right now.

    The conservative voters, which encompass both Hoffman (C) and Scozzafava (R) have decided that they more soundly endorse Hoffman.  Conservatives have moved to the right due to all the big-government programs and policies of the Obama administration.  Scozzafava recognizes this and is willing to give up her votes in hopes that the election will be won by Hoffman.  Underneath this whole race is simply a rejection of Obama and big government leadership.  I truly think it is a lot less about the Republicans and more about the Democrats and their socialist ways.

    It would be nice to think that the Republicans were slick enough to move the voting marketplace to the right, but they aren’t that slick.  Instead, I think the voters have made the decision that they reject government as the answer to anything anymore (or at least for now).  We saw that in the tea bag protests and the Town Hall meetings where shouting matches broke out.  Those protests were not GOP run.  They were a visceral demonstration of independent outrage at government grabbing for power.

    Don’t get me wrong – I applaud Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Hoffman.  I also applaud Tim Pawlenty’s, Ed Meese’s, Dick Armey and all the others that endorse Hoffman above the party candidate as it shows real honesty.  But let’s not pretend this is some well orchestrated GOP campaign to move the party to the right.


    Scozzafava, the one-time frontrunner in the three-way race, stopped short of endorsing one of her opponents.

    But her husband, Ron McDougall, offered his support to Owens late Saturday night – a possible sign of the family’s bitter feelings toward Hoffman.

    McDougall. president of the Jefferson-Lewis-St. Lawrence Central Trades and Labor Council, said Owens “understands the issues important to working people. On the other hand, Doug Hoffman has little regard for the interests of workers.”

    Owens scored three big endorsements. He was endorsed by the chairman of the New York Independence Party and United Auto Workers CAP Region 9, both switching from Scozzafava. And Owens picked up the support of the state’s largest labor union, the New York AFL-CIO, which had stayed out of the race until now.

    “Now that Dede Scozzafava has dropped out of the race, labor’s choice to represent the 23rd Congressional District is crystal clear,” Hughes said. “Bill Owens has the full support and resources of the New York State AFL-CIO at his disposal.”

    Frank MacKay, chairman of the New York State Independence Party, which endorsed Scozzafava and gave her the party’s line on the ballot, said he was personally endorsing Owens.

  • Festus Garvey
  • Festus Garvey

    …and but I’m sure many will think I’m spinning…

    Anyway, I linked to a couple of things that show just how volatile voters can be when a major candidate withdraws days before the voting.  Conventional thinking around here assumes that the R withdraws, the conservative candidates wins.  Well, my point is that it is impossible to predict how the combined voter psych behaves…and the link to the Watertown NY paper that first endorsed the R, now endorses the D.

    This reminds me of the 1990 Dem primary for Gov in MA.  You had 3 candidates, a liberal women (Evelyn Murphy), a liberal old boy pol (Frank Belloti) and a conservative newcomer John Silber.  In the end, Murphy was getting no traction and ran out of money.  The race was close, so she withdrew. My brain cells do not recall if she endorsed Bellot, but it clearly helped Belloti because everyone assumed the Murphy voters would go to him and he would win.  But it didn’t turn out that way.  The withdrawal had all voters reassessing their votes and many were angry that a “deal” may have been in place and others felt angry that a qualified women was getting beaten up by the traditional old boy network.  Whatever the reason, the Democratic Primary voters confounded conventional wisdom and the result of the most liberal candidate withdrawing was not the election of the next most liberal candidate, but the far more conservative candidate.  

    So at this point it’s a guess.  If Hoffman wins, I’m sure everyone here will see it as a solid sign that Conservatives are on the march again.  But for me, if Owens wins, I’ll understand it had to do with the mystery we call politics.

  • http://www.watertowndailytimes

    You know me, and throughout my career, I have been always been an independent voice for the people I represent. I have stood for our honest principles, and a truthful discussion of the issues, even when it cost me personally and politically. Since beginning my campaign, I have told you that this election is not about me; it’s about the people of this District.

    It is in this spirit that I am writing to let you know I am supporting Bill Owens for Congress and urge you to do the same.