Coakley Leads Democrats and Brown

(As the electorate learns more about how Martha Coakley has enabled the corruption rampant on beacon hill, and learns more about Scott, these numbers will change. – promoted by EaBo Clipper)

According to a new Suffolk University Poll, Attorney General Martha Coakley leads both the pack of Democrats in December 8th’s Democratic Primary, and Republican State Senator Scott Brown in the General election by a wide margins. The poll also released favorability ratings for the various candidates.

More After the Fold

Favorable-Unfavorable

Attorney General Martha Coakley (D-Medford) 53%-16%

Congressman Mike Capuano (D-Somerville) 16%-14%

State Senator Scott Brown (R-Wrentham) 20%-13%

Rich-Guy Steve Pagluica (D) 3%-0%

Dec. 8th Democratic Primary

Martha Coakley (D-Medford) 47%

Mike Capuano (D-Somerville) 9%

OUT-Stephen Lynch (D-Boston) 6%

Alan Khazei (D-Brookline) 3%

Undecided 33%

Jan. 19th General Election

Martha Coakley (D-Medford) 54%

Scott Brown (R-Wrentham) 24%

Undecided 20%

The General Election numbers used 39% D, 15% R, and 46% U’s. Coakley leads Brown by a 77-6% margin among Democrats, while Brown lead 71-16% among Republicans. However, and more disappointingly for Scott Brown, Coakley leads 48-23% among Independents.

Interestingly enough, only 28% of Independents knew enough of Brown to make an opinion of him (19-9%), whereas 68% of Independents knew of Coakley’s blandness to decide if they liked her or not. This means Brown does have a great deal of room to grow with Independents (only 9% right now don’t like him). Yet, Brown is really going to have to work hard to win this thing.  

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About MerrimackMan

  • nomad943

    I had to go with other at this early stage 🙂

  • I like Scott Brown, but unfortunately a State Senator isn’t going to start a race with high Name ID.  He only represents 2.5% of the state.

    Scott Brown needs 3 things to pull this off.  

    1) Brown needs to go up.  This has to be done by his own campaign.

    2) Coakley needs to go down.  The easiest way for this to happen is by a bored Celtics owner to spend millions of dollars in negative ads trying to win a Democratic primary.

    3) Turnout needs to be different.  The percent of D’s, R’s and U’s needs to be better.  Proper GOTV efforts and the nature or the special election make this possible.

    It’s going to be tough, but there is a pathway to victory for Scott Brown.  I have already donated and so should you.

  • 1. In a special election the likely votes is a small subset of the group polled here particularly when the special election is in the dead of winter.  Yes, Brown must go up but it is not insurmountable esp with that bored Celtics owner in the fray.

    2. Interesting that a higher percentage of Democrats responded that they didn’t know of Coakley or the other pols than Republicans or Independents.  There are a lot of 20 watt bulbs in the Dem Party.

    3. The healthcare question in the crosstabs shows why Obamacase is a dead parrot.  If only 46% of Massachusetts residents think the federal government can afford universal healthcare and 45% do not, what chance does this have anywhere else.  I note also that opposition to Obamacare is at a record high in Rasmussen today.

     

  • Rob “EaBo Clipper” Eno

    Q.14 On January 19th the General election for U.S. Senate will be held. For whom will you vote or toward whom do you lean at this time?.

    Combining leaners and yes votes at this time is disingenuous. We are three months out from the race and not reporting how strong the support is shows a bias towards Martha Coakley that may not exist.