WTF! AP has the race even! How can this be?

While Drudge is proclaiming landslide proportions (ala Reagan) for Obama, the AP has the race dead even. I’m confused. Something’s gone awry with current polling methods. And then there’s this item that’s overlooked. A lot of wireless users are young people. Pollsters can’t reach them. Thus the polls are underestimating Obama’s real strength. That’s enough, in my humble opinion, to wash out any Bradley effect.

I expected the race to close with less than two weeks to go. I didn’t expect at this point wide variations but AP is sticking its neck out.

WASHINGTON (AP) – The presidential race tightened after the final debate, with John McCain gaining among whites and people earning less than $50,000, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that shows McCain and Barack Obama essentially running even among likely voters in the election homestretch.

The poll, which found Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent, supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain’s “Joe the plumber” analogy struck a chord.

Three weeks ago, an AP-GfK survey found that Obama had surged to a seven-point lead over McCain, lifted by voters who thought the Democrat was better suited to lead the nation through its sudden economic crisis.

The contest is still volatile, and the split among voters is apparent less than two weeks before Election Day.

“I trust McCain more, and I do feel that he has more experience in government than Obama. I don’t think Obama has been around long enough,” said Angela Decker, 44, of La Porte, Ind.

But Karen Judd, 58, of Middleton, Wis., said, “Obama certainly has sufficient qualifications.” She said any positive feelings about McCain evaporated with “the outright lying” in TV ads and his choice of running mate Sarah Palin, who “doesn’t have the correct skills.”

The new AP-GfK head-to-head result is a departure from some, but not all, recent national polls.

Full text here:…

About Karl Marx

Left wing libertarian conservative.