McCain, Clinton Lead in Massachusetts, Income Tax Repeal Dead Heat

The State House News Service January poll is out.  It shows strong support amongst Massachusetts Primary voters for John McCain and Hillary Clinton.  

Not surprisingly it also shows a dead heat on the Income Tax Repeal question.

Dems NOW              TOTAL  

Hillary Clinton   37%  

Barak Obama       25%  

John Edwards      14%  

Undecided         11%  

Repubs

Now                  Total  

John McCain           45%  

Mitt Romney           18%  

Rudy Giuliani          8%  

Mike Huckabee          8%  

Ron Paul               4%  

Fred Thompson          2%  

Undecided             10%  

Income Tax Repeal

No 46%

Yes 45%

Undecided 8%

About Rob "EaBo Clipper" Eno

  • It occurs to me that the Mass GOP Primary is proportional.  Further, you need at least 15% of the vote to get ANY delegates.  18% is pretty close to 15%.  If McCain made a push, he could shut Romney out of delegate in the State where he was Governor.

  • geo999
  • Romney will not be shut out.  MA has 43 delegates.  While it is apportioned 3 belong to the National Committeeman, National Committee Woman (Both Romney Supporters) and the State Party Chairman Officially Neutral, but very likely Pro-Romney.  It is highly unlikely Romney will not meet the 15% threshold especially if the Democratic primary is still competitive.

    The purpose of the apportionment was not to shut out any campaign.  We need Romney supporters to come home from the convention energized and ready to support John McCain for President.

    The Irony is that the Romney team fought hard to make MA winner take all.  Luckily for them we rejected that idea.

  • Another BS poll that means exactly nothing:

    “A telephonic, random-digit dialing survey of 400 Massachusetts residents with a margin of error of +- 4.8 percent.”

    “Massachusetts residents” are irrelevant.

    Only well-vetted “LIKELY MASSACHUSETTS PRIMARY VOTERS'” opinions are relevent.

  • Peter Torkildsen

    This is not a poll of Republican Primary voters, though many people looking at the story on the wire services will probably make that mistaken assumption.

    While KRC asked people if they planned on voting in the Democrat’s primary, they did not do the same when asking about the Republicans.  The “preference” given on the Republican candidates includes the answers of 244 people who said they would be voting in the Democrat’s primary – not by any means an accurate sample of Republican primary voters!

    By not asking people if they planned on voting in the GOP primary, and just asking them their preference, there is no way to gage which candidate is doing well in Massachusetts.  Among the 46 people who identified themselves as Republicans, the percentages are:

    Romney      37.5

    McCain      20

    Huckabee    12.7

    Guiliani    10

    Paul         7.5

    Thompson     2.5

    Don’t know  10.1

    Even this is very limited information as 1) 46 people isn’t enough to create a statistically significant survey, and 2) the pollster didn’t ask these 46 people if they planned to vote in the Republican Primary, and didn’t ask any Independent voters if they plan to vote in the Republican primary.  In some past GOP primaries, Independent voters have voted in large numbers.

  • Karl Marx

    How can this be? This is Massachusetts. One factor that may play into this is frustration at Beacon Hill over property taxes and the failure of the administration to provide property tax relief. Moreover this survey is taking place long before the teachers union and their labor allies spread the “blood in the streets” negative advertising.  

  • politicalmadman

    they didn’t ask many Republicans how they would vote-there aren’t many left ! Shoot, we lost 8% while Mitt was governor. He was such the Republican grassroots activist. How many seats did we win ? Oh, none. Hmmmm. The sad part is so many Repubs can’t wait to join him again and get abused again-have fun.

    My previous post still holds true-he could have written the state party a big fat check and said, sorry, I screwed up. But…….

  • Karl Marx

    that the GOP lost seats in 2004. Mitt was out there recruiting and financially contributing. He new there was a virtue in two-party government. He tried, this is a fact. I’ve long been ambivalent about Mitt’s post-2004 performance and I think his inner business self told him to cut his losses. I was disappointed when he didn’t seek re-election. Moreover the Republicans in the House and Senate seemed to enjoy voting to override his vetoes. I wonder if that became frustrating.  

  • gary

    A dead heat on the tax question!  Imagine that.

    I can see the “vote no on question X, it goes too far” advertisements now.  But consider, what will the Leg do if it actually passes.  Two choices.  One, and there’s precedence, they’ll do nothing.  Totally ignore the will of the voter.  Or two, there’ll be some actual cost cutting and reconsideration of priorities, just as there was following the 2003 dot com bust.  It’s worth voting for.